Satoshi
Countdown

Twenty one million. No more. Ever.

Live supply, fiat expansion, and the policy fights that decide whether hard money gets a fair market. One thesis: absolute scarcity.

Sats remaining to mine
92,361,562,500,000
923,615.63 BTC left · 95.60% of supply mined · about 2140 final sat

News & insights

What the desk is watching

Nine live pulls across Bitcoin, policy, and macro. Source diverse, topical first.

Wire CryptoSlate

JPMorgan’s IBIT Bitcoin ETF bet just missed its escape hatch to avoid 6% deduction

IBIT’s published Aug. 26 close left investors in unlisted debt while preliminary terms layer on SOFR-linked financing. The post JPMorgan’s I…

Wire Cointelegraph

Who is legally liable when an AI agent goes rogue?

If your personal AI agent goes rogue and causes harm or financial damage in the real world, can you be held liable?

Wire Cointelegraph

Polish Olympic chief charged in Zondacrypto probe, justice minister says

Polish Olympic Committee president Radosław Piesiewicz faces charges as prosecutors investigate his ties to collapsed cryptocurrency exchang…

Wire CoinDesk

The Clarity Act slipped to September. Banks are building anyway

But every month without settled rules quietly rewards the walled garden, writes Matter Labs’ Vassilis Tziokas

Wire CryptoSlate

A zero-revenue public company tried to copy Michael Saylor to avoid delisting, but its stock immediately crashed 25%

The company plans 51.6 million new shares against fewer than 5 million outstanding, while any Nasdaq cure remains conditional. The post A ze…

Wire CoinDesk

Ethena looks beyond crypto to squeeze yield from booming equity perpetuals

The issuer of the $4 billion USDe token said it expects real-world asset perpetuals to eclipse crypto derivatives in its backing within 12 t…

Wire Decrypt

Morning Minute: Solana Jumps with Network Inflation Set to Drop

Two majors proposals are set to pass, its leading DATs are back, and Schwab is offering SOL to its clients—quite the setup for Solana.

Wire Decrypt

UK Police Seize $1.4M in Bitcoin Traced to Shuttered Darknet Markets

The 20.21 BTC was linked to marketplaces running between 2016 and 2019, and the man who held it died before it was forfeited.

Wire Cointelegraph

Bitcoin bear market ‘over’ as price metric copies 2023 recovery: CryptoQuant CEO

Bitcoin profitability data produced a bear-market reversal signal that was also present at the start of 2023.

The Bitcoin thesis

Hard money in a soft money world

Bitcoin is absolute scarcity competing with politically expandable money. Fixed issuance. Soft money as policy. Markets that either clear the path or push liquidity abroad.

  • Fixed issuance schedule

    Subsidy halves every 210,000 blocks. Current reward 3.125 BTC → 1.5625 BTC at block 1,050,000 (about 594 days).

  • Fiat is a policy choice

    M2, deficits, and rate regimes change with politics. Bitcoin’s monetary policy is client consensus, not a committee vote.

  • Rules need markets

    CLARITY style market structure and executive posture decide whether U.S. capital can treat BTC as a first class asset, or leave liquidity offshore.

Protocol desk

BIPs & the reference client

Bitcoin Improvement Proposals are how the network documents design changes. Read them clearly, then follow the code where consensus actually ships.

Cornerstone proposals

  • BIP 42

    Finite monetary supply. The 21 million cap written into the process.

  • BIP 141

    Segregated Witness. Capacity and malleability fixes at the consensus layer.

  • BIP 340

    Schnorr signatures for secp256k1. Cleaner multisig and aggregation path.

  • BIP 341

    Taproot. Script privacy and efficiency for modern spending paths.

  • BIP 3

    Updated BIP process. How proposals move from draft toward deployment.

Policy radar

CLARITY Act & Trump alerts

Regulation and the White House set the institutional on ramp. Track the bill. Watch the headlines that move odds.

Passed House · Awaiting Senate floor

H.R. 3633 · Digital Asset Market Clarity Act

A market structure bill that would split SEC and CFTC oversight of digital commodities, set registration paths for intermediaries, and constrain a Fed retail CBDC. Separate from the enacted GENIUS Act on stablecoins.

As of mid July 2026, Senate Banking reported a substitute on Jun 1. Floor vote faces a tight window before the roughly Aug 7 recess. Midterms make a 2026 slip costly.

  1. Introduced May 29, 2025
  2. Passed House Jul 17, 2025 · 294 to 134
  3. Senate Banking reported Jun 1, 2026
  4. Senate floor vote Pending
  5. To President Pending
  6. Became law Pending
Open on Congress.gov →

Trump & Bitcoin alerts

Executive crypto posture, PAC flows, and ethics fights that spill into CLARITY.

No Trump or Bitcoin alerts in the latest pull. Refresh shortly.

Bitcoin treasuries

Who holds the stack

Public companies, private firms, governments, ETFs and exchanges, and DeFi wrappers. Five ledgers of capital that treats Bitcoin as reserve.

4,189,633 BTC across five ledgers As of July 2026
1,263,186 BTC tracked in category 197 entities Listed companies holding BTC on the balance sheet.
# Holder Ticker / code BTC Est. USD
1 Strategy United States MSTR 843,775 $66.86B
2 Twenty One Capital United States XXI 43,514 $3.45B
3 Metaplanet Inc. Japan MPJPY 43,000 $3.41B
4 MARA Holdings United States MARA 36,303 $2.88B
5 Bitcoin Standard Treasury United States BSTR 30,021 $2.38B
6 Bullish United States BLSH 24,300 $1.93B
7 Strive United States ASST 19,921 $1.58B
8 SpaceX United States SPCX 18,712 $1.48B
9 Coinbase Global United States COIN 16,492 $1.31B
10 Riot Platforms United States RIOT 15,680 $1.24B
11 CleanSpark United States CLSK 13,924 $1.10B
12 Tesla United States TSLA 11,509 $912.0M
13 Hut 8 United States HUT 10,278 $814.4M
14 Trump Media & Technology United States DJT 9,542 $756.1M
15 Block United States XYZ 9,032 $715.7M

Holdings as of July 2026. Figures change with disclosures. Not financial advice.

World acceptance

Where Bitcoin is welcome

From El Salvador’s curso legal experiment to bans and strategic interest. Policy geography for hard money.

Loading map…

  • Curso legal / voluntary tender
  • Strategic reserve interest
  • Legal and regulated
  • Restricted
  • Banned or hostile

Prediction markets

Bitcoin & economy odds

Live odds for Bitcoin price paths, CLARITY Act passage, and related macro bets. Crowd priced signals next to the news wire.

Bitcoin $23.89M vol

What price will Bitcoin hit in August?

$2.31M liq · 23 markets · ends Sep 1, 2026

Top 5 selections

  1. Dip to $77,500 55.5%
  2. Reach $82,500 27.3%
  3. Dip to $75,000 16.5%
  4. Reach $85,000 9.6%
  5. Dip to $72,500 4.2%
Bitcoin $1.71M vol

Bitcoin above ___ on August 28?

$418.3K liq · 11 markets · ends Aug 28, 2026

Top 5 selections

  1. Above $70,000 100%
  2. Above $72,000 100%
  3. Above $68,000 99.8%
  4. Above $74,000 99.8%
  5. Above $76,000 99.1%
Fed $227.1K vol

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

$50.2K liq · 6 markets · ends Dec 31, 2026

Top 5 selections

  1. 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026 42.5%
  2. no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 42%
  3. 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 15.5%
  4. 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 2.1%
  5. 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026 0.2%
CLARITY $48.8K vol

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$11.1K liq · 15 markets · ends Jan 1, 2027

Top 5 selections

  1. John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 51.5%
  2. Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 49%
  3. Andy Kim vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 46.1%
  4. Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity… 43%
  5. Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act 40.9%
Fed $30.4K vol

Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?

$17.2K liq · 3 markets · ends Jan 1, 2027

Top 3 selections

  1. Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member b… 12%
  2. Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member b… 5.5%
  3. Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member b… 0.2%
CLARITY $11.9K vol

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

$26.9K liq · 8 markets · ends Jan 1, 2027

Top 5 selections

  1. over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 42%
  2. over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 42%
  3. over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 42%
  4. over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 41%
  5. over 64 Senators vote for the Clarity Act 21%

Odds refresh on each page load. Not financial advice.

The wire

Bitcoin & macro headlines

Fresh headlines on Bitcoin, policy, and macro. Filtered toward scarcity, regulation, and the money that competes with a fixed supply.

Cointelegraph

Here’s what happened in crypto today

Need to know what happened in crypto today? Here is the latest news on daily trends and events impacting Bitcoin price, blockchain, DeFi, Web3 and crypto regulation.

Macro lens

Price, money supply, debt

The charts that frame the thesis: Bitcoin versus expanding dollars and national debt.

Bitcoin

Absolute scarcity priced in dollars

M2 money supply

Expanding claims on goods & assets

U.S. national debt

Fiscal path Bitcoin is measured against

Supply clock

Mining progress

95.60% of the 21M supply mined · 923,615.63 BTC remaining

Block reward
3.125 BTC
Blocks to halving
85,557
Difficulty
125.81T
Est. days to halving
~594